Capital markets
Must-read Swanson Op-ed: The White House-FCC Jobs Clash
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Fri, 2010-02-26 11:27Don't miss Digital Society's Bret Swanson's outstanding op-ed in the Huffington Post that spotlights the huge disconnect between the White House's top priority of creating jobs, and the FCC's Open Internet regulation plans that are obviously big net job killers.
Common sense dictates that heavily regulating a healthy and economic broadband sector with unnecessary and intrusive restrictions and red tape will destroy profits, investment and tens of thousands of good-paying jobs.
Must read Broadband industry letter to FCC: Title II reclassification would do incalcuable harm
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Mon, 2010-02-22 19:13In one of the best, most strongly-worded and serious letters to the FCC that I have read in my 18 years following FCC issues closely, the united broadband industry's letter to FCC Chairman Genachowski is simply a must-read; it explains why the FCC's serious interest in reclassifying unregulated broadband information services as regulated telecom services is among the worst and most destructive ideas the FCC has ever seriously considered.
The letter characterized Title II reclassification as:
- "a radical new direction,"
- "regulating the Internet,"
- "a profound mistake,"
- "betraying decades of bipartisan support for keeping the Internet unregulated,"
- "misguided regulatory overreach," and a
- "Pandora's Box."
A particularly strong summary statement was:
Systemic Uneconomics: Financial Crisis Root Causes: Part III
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Thu, 2010-01-21 16:03To discern the real “root” causes of the financial crisis of 2008, one must probe beneath the surface and examine the health of the “root system” of our capital markets “forest.” The roots of the capital markets forest are sound economics; the natural market function of automatically equilibrating supply and demand and risk and reward, that is commonly appreciated as Adam’s Smith’s “invisible hand.” We generally assume that the natural market strength of the capital market forest’s root system ensures that all the trees are not in danger of being blown over in the crisis of a storm.
Google's Energy trading proposal sounds eerily like Enron's disastrous derivative scheme
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Tue, 2010-01-12 18:59As the first expert witness to testify before Congress on what went wrong with Enron, the worst U.S. fraud/bankruptcy ever at that time, Google's announcement that it has applied to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) for "blanket authorization... to make sales of electric energy, capacity and ancillary services," and for "certain exemptions" from reporting and accountability... is eerily reminiscent of Enron Broadband's disastrous efforts to bring swash-buckling, gee-whiz technology to the energy futures market over a decade ago.
- The hair standing up on the back of my neck tells me this latest scheme by Google to become an unregulated market maker in energy services could end very badly.
What's different between Enron and Google is that Enron was an energy company that entered into the tech and energy auction businesses, whereas Google is a tech and ad-auction business entering the energy business.
Deja Vu: What's eerily similar?
“Systemic Risk Laundering” -- Financial Crisis Root Causes -- Part II
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Tue, 2009-09-08 09:27
How could American taxpayers get stuck with a multi-trillion dollar tab that they weren’t even aware that they were running up? How could that huge tab still be allowed to run up unchecked today? For the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the sad answer is one of the biggest root causes of last fall’s devastating financial crisis and one of the biggest continuing systemic risks to the financial system and the economic recovery.
The Father of Indexing Calls My Indexing Thesis "Nuts!"
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Fri, 2009-07-03 16:35When Investment News asked John Bogle, Vanguard's founder and the father of indexing, about my "Indexing into the Ditch" thesis (that indexing is one of the root causes of the financial crisis) he said: it “is nuts! Last time I looked, index funds accounted for about 0.4% of all stock trading ... Just perhaps the other 99.6% might bear a teeny-weeny bit of the responsibility.”
Let me first respond to Mr. Bogle's points in order.
The thesis "is nuts! "I must admit I smiled at the ad hominum implication that my thesis was "nuts" and not worth listening to; I remembered that Bernie Ebbers called me the "idiot Washington analyst" because my research was the first to charge that WorldCom's business simply did not add up.
Challenging Mr. Bogle's Claim Indexing is Investing
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Fri, 2009-06-12 11:34With all due respect to Mr. John Bogle, legendary founder of Vanguard and de facto leader of the American index fund movement that now manages ~$1.5 trillion, I must respectfully challenge, on the merits, Mr. Bogle's, and others, ongoing mischaracterization of indexing as "investing."
Indexing into the Ditch -- Financial Crisis Root Causes -- Part I
Submitted by Scott Cleland on Thu, 2009-06-11 16:43Despite the widely held view that indexing is the safest way to invest, indexing helped recklessly drive our financial system and economy into the ditch last fall.
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While there’s consensus the financial crisis warrants “new rules of the road” and better policing to protect against systemic risk, all the rules and oversight in the world can’t keep us out of the ditch in the future if index vehicles continue to drive the wrong way against oncoming traffic.
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And “stress testing” whether bank vehicles can survive head-on crashes, completely misses the point that indexers should not be driving the wrong way on the freeway.
